Two armies vs. One

Does anyone have insights into this question.

  • Nation A has two armies outside the capital of Nation B and both are going to step in.
  • Nation B is going to step out with one army to try to block.

Does nation A have a 1/2 chance of moving in before being blocked or a 2/3 chance because they have two armies moving?

Jeremy

If they are in the next hex they will probably just pass each other. I have seen this happen before when I sent my army to block and they moved the one hex into the Pop Centre and my army was in the hex they had moved from.

For one army to pass another army (enemy army) they must have moved evasively.

With regard to the original question, which army moves first is chosen at random so the 2 armies do have a 2 in 3 chance of moving first.

When I tried to block in one the KS game you said I shouldn’t bother as they would both move at the same time and my army would go past them.

Thanks Cohen. Anyone else want to weigh in?

Jeremy

Artarkis, I don’t remember. You might have to remind me of the circumstances.

For the avoidance of confusion. As a general rule, armies move into the adjacent hex on their first movement point and they all move at the same time. However, if two enemy armies are moving towards each other, they can’t both move at the same time so the one that moves first is chosen at random.

Do we have data on this answer that it’s determined on a per-army basis, not a per-nation basis? That’s Jeremy’s question. I’d willingly believe anyone who’s looked at say 20 such scenarios and can show the data. Otherwise, we’re all just saying our informed opinion. (not that some of you don’t have really finely tuned opinions)

I might have to give you that Dave. I’m sure I’ve seen it written down somewhere but I can’t see it in the rule book.

For what it’s worth, I’ve played this game for a long time and have never had reason to think otherwise.

on a per-army basis, not a per-nation basis?

In the old days, opinions leaned toward a “per-nation” basis, so in Jeremy’s case, there’d be a 50/50 chance of a block.

I don’t have the data to support either view. I wonder if anyone has tracked results enough to tell?